I’m currently thinking of how impactful forecasting is. I’m interested to hear about situations where crowd-sourced forecasting (like Manifold and Metaculus) has influenced your decisions, or cases where you’ve seen it change someone else’s behavior. Has there been a situation in which, if you had not had access to Manifold or Metaculus, you would’ve made a worse decision?Discuss Read More
When has forecasting been useful for you?
I’m currently thinking of how impactful forecasting is. I’m interested to hear about situations where crowd-sourced forecasting (like Manifold and Metaculus) has influenced your decisions, or cases where you’ve seen it change someone else’s behavior. Has there been a situation in which, if you had not had access to Manifold or Metaculus, you would’ve made a worse decision?Discuss Read More
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