The Basic Case For Doom
Published on September 30, 2025 4:04 PM GMTCrosspost of my blog article.A lot of the…
Category: Opinion
AI Safety Research Futarchy: Using Prediction Markets to Choose Research Projects for MARS
Published on September 30, 2025 3:37 PM GMTSummaryGeodesic is going to use prediction markets to…
ARENA 7.0 – Call for Applicants
Published on September 30, 2025 2:54 PM GMTTL;DR:We're excited to announce the seventh iteration of ARENA…
The famous survivorship bias image is a “loose reconstruction” of methods used on a hypothetical dataset
Published on September 30, 2025 1:13 PM GMTFile:Survivorship-bias.svg - Wikimedia CommonsA later reprinting of the…
[GDPval] Models Could Automate the U.S. Economy by 2027
Published on September 30, 2025 11:53 AM GMTOpenAI's new GDPval benchmark measures AI capabilities on…
Ethical Design Patterns
Published on September 30, 2025 11:52 AM GMTRelated to: Commonsense Good, Creative Good (and my…
What is the Base Model Simulation of Human AI-Assistant Conversation?:
Published on September 30, 2025 7:08 AM GMTThere has been talk[1] about how our (often-mistaken) understanding…
Comparative Analysis of Black Box Methods for Detecting Evaluation Awareness in LLMs
Published on September 26, 2025 9:56 PM GMTAbstractThere is increasing evidence that Large Language Models…
Synthesizing Standalone World-Models, Part 4: Metaphysical Justifications
Published on September 26, 2025 6:00 PM GMT"If your life choices led you to a…
Synthesizing Standalone World-Models, Part 3: Dataset-Assembly
Published on September 25, 2025 7:21 PM GMTThis is part of a series covering my…