Evidence that would update me towards a software-only fast takeoff
Published on January 20, 2026 12:58 AM GMTIn a software-only takeoff, AIs improve AI-related software…
Category: Opinion
There may be low hanging fruit for a weak nootropic
Published on January 20, 2026 12:51 AM GMTThe problemYou are routinely exposed to CO2 concentrations…
Pretraining on Aligned AI Data Dramatically Reduces Misalignment—Even After Post-Training
Published on January 19, 2026 9:24 PM GMTAlignment Pretraining Shows PromiseTL;DR: A new paper shows…
Could LLM alignment research reduce x-risk if the first takeover-capable AI is not an LLM?
Published on January 19, 2026 6:09 PM GMTMany people believe that the first AI capable…
AGI both does and doesn’t have an infinite time horizon
Published on January 19, 2026 4:57 PM GMTI've recently spent some time looking at the…
Desiderata of good problems to hand off to AIs
Published on January 19, 2026 4:55 PM GMTMany technical AI safety plans involve building automated…
Desiderata of good problems to hand off to AIs
Published on January 19, 2026 4:55 PM GMTMany technical AI safety plans involve building automated…
Testing few-shot coup probes
Published on January 19, 2026 4:31 PM GMTI implemented (what I think is) a simple…
The Example
Published on January 19, 2026 3:27 PM GMTMy work happens to consist of two things:…
How to think about enemies: the example of Greenpeace
Published on January 19, 2026 11:02 AM GMTA large number of nice smart people do…