Uncertain Updates: January 2026
Published on January 28, 2026 6:10 PM GMTIt’s been a busy month of writing.Chapter 7,…
Category: Opinion
Made a game that tries to incentivize quality thinking & writing, looking for feedback
Published on January 28, 2026 6:02 PM GMTHey friends, I made this game I thought…
Is the Gell-Mann effect overrated?
Published on January 28, 2026 3:58 PM GMTGell-Mann amnesia refers to "the phenomenon of experts…
My simple argument for AI policy action
Published on January 28, 2026 3:07 PM GMTMany arguments over the risks of advanced AI…
Open Problems With Claude’s Constitution
Published on January 28, 2026 2:20 PM GMTThe first post in this series looked at…
The State of Brain Emulation Report 2025 launched.
Published on January 28, 2026 11:02 AM GMTA one-year project with over 45 expert contributors…
Gym-Like Environment for LM Truth-Seeking
Published on January 28, 2026 4:48 AM GMTThank-you to Ryan Greenblatt and Julian Stastny for…
Anomalous Tokens on Gemini 3.0 Pro
Published on January 28, 2026 1:43 AM GMTJust now, I was working on a readme…
Clarifying how our AI timelines forecasts have changed since AI 2027
Published on January 27, 2026 10:58 PM GMTSome recent news articles discuss updates to our…
The Chaos Defense
Published on January 27, 2026 6:51 PM GMTThere’s a framing problem with how we talk…